
SBM Intelligence, a research firm that analyses West African geopolitical and economic situation, has released its projection of the forthcoming 2023 presidential election in Nigeria.
The firm predicts the states that will be won by the top three candidates in the election, namely:
Asiwaju Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP)
2023 presidential election set to be the tightest, says SBM
According to the SBM, the 2023 presidential election is set to be the tightest in Nigeria’s history. As such, the research firm predicts that there will be a run-off, the first in the country’s history.

Nevertheless, the SBM gave a caveat that “a week is a long time in politics”.
2023 presidency: List of states Tinubu may win, SBM projects
Yobe state
Borno state
Zamfara state
Katsina state
Jigawa state
Niger state
Nasarawa state
Kogi state
Oyo state
Ondo state
Ekiti state
Lagos state
Ogun state
2023 presidency: List of states Atiku may win, SBM projects
Sokoto state
Kaduna state
Bauchi state
Gombe state
Adamawa state
Taraba state
FCT
Osun state
Delta state
Bayelsa state
Rivers state
Akwa Ibom state
● List of States Peter Obi may win, SBM projects
Plateau State
Edo State
Abia State
Imo State
Enugu State
Anambra State
Ebonyi State
Cross River State
Benue State
● List of states that are too close to call
Kebbi state
Kano state
Kwara state
From the foregoing, SBM’s projection indicates that Tinubu will win 13 states while Atiku will win 12. Obi will take nine states, according to the projection.
(Adapted and edited report from Legit.ng)
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